Who's going to win this week's Central Georgia high school football games?

Who's going to win this week's Central Georgia high school football games?

By Michael A. Lough
The Sports Report
centralgasports@gmail.com

Last week
22-6, 78.57 percent
For the season
111-41, 73.03 percent
Within 7 of the spread
5 of 28; Season: 30 of 152, 19.74 percent; Perfect spread: None
          Maximum spread to use is 39 points; Rankings are from Georgia HS Football Daily’s composite polls

Games of note

Northside, 2-2 at Veterans, 3-1
          Here are two clearly improved teams who need a win for momentum, more confidence, and playoff points. Because losses are coming. Odds are a big-play in the third quarter ends up being the difference, and both have some playmakers. Composure – i.e. few dumb 5-yarders and no dumb 15-yarders – is something to watch.
TSR pick: Northside by 8

Jones County, 2-3/1-0, at No. 8 Ola, 4-1/1-0
          The Greyhounds appear to be rounding into form, as some expected, after a tough early-season schedule. If Hound Nation shows up, it gives Jones County an edge. But Ola is mighty good, and knows how to win.
TSR pick: Ola by 4 (Upset watch)

No. 2 Troup, 4-0/1-0, at No. 8 Mary Persons, 3-1/1-0
          Are we looking at the largest home crowd in years at The Pitt? What with expanded visitors stands, and assorted interruptions the past few years, a shot at a top-3 team is tasty for the Bulldogs, a solid underdog.
TSR pick: Troup by  15

No. 12 Lamar County, 3-1/1-0, at No. 5 Northeast, 3-1/1-0
          Both teams are good, and bring different schemes. But this comes down to Northeast again surviving so many avoidable penalties. Lamar County can – and needs to - control the ball, and Northeast needs its running game – excluding QB Jordan Wiggins – to get going. This won’t be a pretty game, but it’ll be pretty dang good.
TSR pick: Northeast by 12 (Upset watch)

No. 6 Dublin, 3-1, at No. 3 Bleckley County, 4-0
          Here’s a burly showdown among rivals who have played 20 times, 18 times since 2004. Dublin was stunned at home – and outgained – by Baldwin, but is 2-0 on the road. Can Bleckley County avoid, well, laying an egg, which it’s done in this game in recent years? If the Royals get a lead, can they hold it? Can Dublin come back? Composure in what should be a sizzling atmosphere is huge, as is special teams.
TSR pick: Bleckley County by 11

Stratford, 4-1, at FPD, 4-2
          FPD has veered into the “still tough to figure out” category, after seemingly escaped that folder after the Westfield win. The Frederica loss was a little baffling. Stratford, meanwhile, shrugged off the Westfield loss and got right back on track. And it’s a pretty good track the Eagles are on.
TSR pick: Stratford by 17

The schedule

Class 5A

Perry, 1-4/0-1, at Locust Grove, 1-4/0-1
TSR pick: Perry by 9

Warner Robins, 3-2/1-0, at Eagle’s Landing, 0-4
TSR pick: Warner Robins by 28

Class 4A

Baldwin, 3-1/0-1, at Westside, 2-2/0-1
TSR pick: Baldwin by 20

Howard, 2-2/1-0, at Upson-Lee, 0-4/1-0
TSR pick: Howard by 23

No. 3 Peach County, 4-0/1-0, at Spalding, 3-1/0-1
TSR pick: Peach County by 23

Southeast Bulloch, 2-2, at West Laurens, 1-3
TSR pick: West Laurens by 17

Class 3A

Southwest 0-4/0-1, at Central, 2-2/0-1, Thursday, Thompson
TSR pick: Southwest by 19

Rutland, 2-2/0-1, at Jackson, 1-3/0-1
TSR pick: Jackson by 9

Washington County, 1-3, at Westside-Augusta, 2-2
TSR pick: Westside by 3

Class AA

No. 16 ACE, 4-0, at Vidalia, 2-2
TSR pick: ACE by 9

Aquinas, 3-1/1-0 at Putnam County, 3-1/0-1
TSR pick: Aquinas by 10

Jasper County, 2-2/1-0, at Laney, 2-2/1-0
TSR pick: Laney by 2

Swainsboro, 1-3 at East Laurens, 1-3
TSR pick: Swainsboro by 21

Class A

Chattahoochee County, 3-1, at No. 5 Taylor County, 4-0
TSR pick: Taylor County by 30

Crawford County, 0-4, at Marion County, 0-4
TSR pick: Marion County by 11

Dooly County, 1-3, at Hawkinsville, 1-3
TSR pick: Hawkinsville by 10

GMC Prep, 3-1, at Jenkins County, 0-4
TSR pick: Jenkins County by 13

Twiggs County, 1-3, at Wilkinson County, 1-3
TSR pick: Wilkinson County by 14

GIAA

Tattnall, 3-3, at Mount de Sales, 5-1
TSR pick: Tattnall by 8

Trinity Christian, 2-3, at Gatewood, 2-3
TSR pick: Gatewood by 16

Flint River, 3-1, at Piedmont, 0-4
TSR pick: Flint River by 11

Pinewood, 0-5, at Brentwood, 4-2/1-0
TSR pick: Brentwood by 31

Westminster, 0-5, at Central Fellowship, 0-4
TSR pick: Westminster by 12

Idle: Houston County, Dodge County, Hancock Central, Macon County, Westfield, John Milledge, Windsor